Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.