FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 0
Harrogate

Ramazani (59')
Guilavogui (64'), Ramazani (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (21'), Burrell (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leeds United and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 3-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Harrogate Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Harrogate
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 84.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 4.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Harrogate Town
84.96% ( -0.64)	10.64% ( 0.41)	4.39% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 39.11% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.39% (

-0.97)

33.6% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.58% (

-1.11)

55.41% (

1.11)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.41% (

-0.3)

5.59% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.29% (

-0.87)

21.71% (

0.87)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.42% (

0.21)

58.57% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.09% (

0.11)

89.9% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 84.95%

Harrogate Town 4.39%

Draw 10.64%

Leeds United	Draw	Harrogate Town
2-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.35% Total : 84.95%	1-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 10.64%	0-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.29% Total : 4.39%