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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
43.89% (![]() | 26.81% (![]() | 29.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.85% (![]() | 55.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.61% (![]() | 76.39% (![]() |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.04% (![]() | 24.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.4% (![]() | 59.6% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.12% (![]() | 33.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.45% (![]() | 70.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 12.7% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 76 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 73 |
3 | Walsall | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 41 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 71 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 69 |
6 | Notts County | 42 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 68 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 20 | 6 | 16 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 66 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 65 |
9 | Chesterfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 62 |
10 | Salford City | 41 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 61 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 66 | 61 | 5 | 57 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Bromley | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 56 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 55 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 53 |
17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 50 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 47 |
19 | MK Dons | 42 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 46 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 46 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 44 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 43 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 37 |
24 | Morecambe | 42 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |