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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Harrogate Town

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Harrogate

Khouri (55'), Svanthorsson (74')
McEachran (90+2'), Svanthorsson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duke-McKenna (82')
Bray (90+1'), Sutton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Harrogate Town

Both teams have racked up similar numbers on the defensive end of things, but Grimsby have been the vastly superior side going forward, and we are backing them to come away with maximum points at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
43.89% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06) 26.81% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 29.31% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.62% (0.252 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (0.294 0.29)55.14% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.242 0.24)76.39% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.102 0.1)24.96% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (0.14100000000001 0.14)59.6% (-0.139 -0.14)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.248 0.25)33.88% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.268 0.27)70.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.88%
    Harrogate Town 29.31%
    Draw 26.8%
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Harrogate

Grimsby Town
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Harrogate Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Thomson (49')
Abu (83')

Hume (79'), Artell (80')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')
Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Harrogate
3-2
Grimsby Town
Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4120111062471571
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City411613125347661
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536


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