Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 60.53%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 19.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Gainsborough Trinity
60.53% ( -0.01)	19.65% ( 0)	19.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.19% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.48% (

0.01)

32.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.83% (

0.01)

54.17% (

-0.01)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.48%

10.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.78% (

34.22% (

Gainsborough Trinity Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

0.01)

29.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.64% (

0.01)

65.36% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 60.53%

Gainsborough Trinity 19.83%

Draw 19.65%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Gainsborough Trinity
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.06% 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.34% Total : 60.53%	1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.65%	1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.02% Total : 19.83%