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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Keys Park

Hednesford
4 - 4
Gainsborough

Duku (4'), Holness (21', 95'), McHale (49')
Holness (55'), Taylor (113')
FT
(aet)
Howe (65', 77'), Lancaster (90+4'), Clarke (109')
Cogill (9'), Tuntulwana (55'), Tuntulwana (55'), Helliwell (113')
Gainsborough win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hednesford Town and Gainsborough Trinity, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 Hednesford
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Gainsborough Trinity

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Last Game: Boston 0-4 Gainsborough
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%).

Result
Hednesford TownDrawGainsborough Trinity
24.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)21.72% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.73% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 62.4% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.48% (0.263 0.26)36.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.33% (0.286 0.29)58.67% (-0.283 -0.28)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.069999999999993 0.07)27.68% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.23% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Gainsborough Trinity Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.14400000000001 0.14)13.71% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.04% (0.285 0.28)40.96% (-0.282 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Hednesford Town 24.55%
    Gainsborough Trinity 53.73%
    Draw 21.73%
Hednesford TownDrawGainsborough Trinity
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 24.55%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.37% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.09% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.019 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 53.73%

How you voted: Hednesford vs Gainsborough

Hednesford Town
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Gainsborough Trinity
52.4%
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