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FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Keys Park
Gateshead

Hednesford
1 - 1
Gateshead

Stevenson (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Newton (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Hednesford Town and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Hednesford 1-0 Shifnal Town FC
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Gateshead

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 80.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 6.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.94%) and 0-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Hednesford Town win it was 1-0 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Hednesford TownDrawGateshead
6.91% (-0.2441 -0.24)12.84% (-0.318 -0.32)80.26% (0.565 0.56)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.48% (0.64700000000001 0.65)32.52% (-0.64299999999999 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.83% (0.745 0.74)54.17% (-0.741 -0.74)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.67% (-0.175 -0.17)49.33% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.81% (-0.124 -0.12)84.19% (0.12700000000001 0.13)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.73% (0.244 0.24)6.27% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.37% (0.666 0.67)23.63% (-0.663 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Hednesford Town 6.91%
    Gateshead 80.24%
    Draw 12.84%
Hednesford TownDrawGateshead
1-0 @ 2.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-1 @ 2.14% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 6.91%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 12.84%
0-2 @ 11.85% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 10.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.38% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 7.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-4 @ 7.58% (0.156 0.16)
1-4 @ 5.36% (0.084 0.08)
0-5 @ 4.2% (0.142 0.14)
1-5 @ 2.97% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.94% (0.091 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.02 0.02)
1-6 @ 1.37% (0.058 0.06)
2-5 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 80.24%

How you voted: Hednesford vs Gateshead

Hednesford Town
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gateshead
60.0%
15