Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.