Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon | 
| 32.31% | 27.38% (  0) | 40.31% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 49.13% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.65% (  0) | 56.34% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.63% (  0) | 77.37% (  0) | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.67% (  0) | 32.33% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.16% | 68.84% (  0) | 
| AFC Wimbledon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.6% (  0) | 27.39% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.13% (  0) | 62.86% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | AFC Wimbledon | 
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.65% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.73% (  0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.43% (  0) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.17% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.3% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 | 
| 2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 | 
| 3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 | 
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 | 
| 6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 51 | 
| 7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 | 
| 8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 | 
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 | 
| 10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 | 
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 | 
| 12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 | 
| 13 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 | 
| 14 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 | 
| 15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 | 
| 16 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 | 
| 17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 36 | 
| 18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 | 
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 | 
| 20 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 | 
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 27 | 
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 | 
| 24 | Rochdale | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 21 | 
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