

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 53.61% ( | 25.46% ( | 20.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( | 56.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.75% ( | 77.24% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( | 20.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.23% ( | 53.76% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.06% ( | 41.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.62% ( | 78.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18 |
| 3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Morecambe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Walsall | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 7 |
| 21 | Salford City | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 4 |
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