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AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Weymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3 - 1
Weymouth
Assal (48'), Chislett (61', 64')
Assal (51'), Ogundere (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ash (78')
McBurnie (51')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Weymouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Weymouth

Weymouth were impressive when the two sides met last time out, but we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a home victory in this match due to AFC Wimbledon's superior quality across the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 18.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWeymouth
59.93% (0.338 0.34) 21.28% (-0.148 -0.15) 18.78% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (0.369 0.37)41.98% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.61% (0.369 0.37)64.38% (-0.37 -0.37)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.22200000000001 0.22)13.62% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (0.442 0.44)40.77% (-0.44 -0.44)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)72.79% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 59.93%
    Weymouth 18.78%
    Draw 21.28%
AFC WimbledonDrawWeymouth
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 59.93%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.28%
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.78%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Weymouth

AFC Wimbledon
84.7%
Draw
11.1%
Weymouth
4.2%
72
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
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2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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