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AFC Wimbledon
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Carlisle United
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Grimsby Town
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Morecambe
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Newport County

Crewe
0 - 3
Newport


Thibaut (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Antwi (33'), Ajiboye (45+2'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Ajiboye (60'), Thomas (66'), Antwi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Newport County

Crewe may be in worse form than their opponents, but the visitors' shocking away record makes it extremely unlikely that they will take anything from Saturday's game. Additionally, the pressure of keeping up with their promotion rivals should be a motivating factor for the Railwaymen to put in a strong performance this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
60.68% (0.418 0.42) 23.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 16.28% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.288 -0.29)53.2% (0.289 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-0.246 -0.25)74.77% (0.246 0.25)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.043999999999997 0.04)17.17% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)47.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.34% (-0.63 -0.63)45.66% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (-0.5 -0.5)81.46% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 60.68%
    Newport County 16.28%
    Draw 23.03%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.17% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 16.28%

How you voted: Crewe vs Newport

Crewe Alexandra
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Newport County
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Crewe
Evans (33'), Baker (74')
Evans (22'), Glennon (45+6'), Baker (90+3')
Thibaut (71')
Knight-Lebel (3'), Lankester (38'), Breckin (90+1')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
1-1
Crewe
Evans (64')
Long (48')
Williams (72')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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