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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
60.68% (![]() | 23.03% (![]() | 16.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% (![]() | 53.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% (![]() | 74.77% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% (![]() | 17.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.58% (![]() | 47.42% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.34% (![]() | 45.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.54% (![]() | 81.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 13.81% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.17% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 10.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 68 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 61 |
4 | Notts County | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 57 |
6 | Port Vale | 33 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 57 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 55 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 51 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 49 |
11 | Salford City | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 49 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 48 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 46 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 |
16 | Chesterfield | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 42 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 40 |
18 | MK Dons | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 39 |
19 | Gillingham | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 37 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 30 |
23 | Morecambe | 35 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 29 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 27 |
> League Two Full Table |