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Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Newport County

Crewe
0 - 3
Newport


Thibaut (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Antwi (33'), Ajiboye (45+2'), Baker-Richardson (82')
Ajiboye (60'), Thomas (66'), Antwi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Newport County

Crewe may be in worse form than their opponents, but the visitors' shocking away record makes it extremely unlikely that they will take anything from Saturday's game. Additionally, the pressure of keeping up with their promotion rivals should be a motivating factor for the Railwaymen to put in a strong performance this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
60.68% (0.418 0.42) 23.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 16.28% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.288 -0.29)53.2% (0.289 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-0.246 -0.25)74.77% (0.246 0.25)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.043999999999997 0.04)17.17% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.079000000000001 0.08)47.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.34% (-0.63 -0.63)45.66% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54% (-0.5 -0.5)81.46% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 60.68%
    Newport County 16.28%
    Draw 23.03%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.17% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.15% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.68%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 16.28%

How you voted: Crewe vs Newport

Crewe Alexandra
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Newport County
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Newport
2-1
Crewe
Evans (33'), Baker (74')
Evans (22'), Glennon (45+6'), Baker (90+3')
Thibaut (71')
Knight-Lebel (3'), Lankester (38'), Breckin (90+1')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Newport
1-1
Crewe
Evans (64')
Long (48')
Williams (72')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
4-2
Newport
Demetriou (8', 57'), Long (66' pen.), Nevitt (71')
Evans (21'), Charsley (75')
Bondswell (83'), Waite (90+3')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Newport
2-2
Crewe
Bogle (77' pen., 90+1')
Adebisi (56'), Brook (90+3')
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-2
Newport
Brook (13')
Norman (62'), Zanzala (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall35208764382668
2Bradford CityBradford35199748291966
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster351871051411061
4Notts County341610853351858
5AFC Wimbledon34169944232157
6Port Vale33151264234857
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe35141384336755
8Grimsby Town34165134850-253
9Bromley351312104541451
10Colchester UnitedColchester34111673932749
11Salford City341310114236649
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood351212114842648
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham341210124649-346
14Swindon TownSwindon351112125050045
15Newport CountyNewport34127154454-1043
16Chesterfield33119135042842
17BarrowBarrow34117163641-540
18MK Dons34116174449-539
19Gillingham34108162938-938
20Harrogate TownHarrogate35107182845-1737
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3499163952-1336
22Tranmere RoversTranmere35612172554-2930
23Morecambe3585223052-2229
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3469192550-2527


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