Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 47.64% (  0.06) | 25.31% (  -0.02) | 27.05% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 52.68% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.55% (  0.06) | 50.45% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.62% (  0.05) | 72.38% (  -0.06) | 
| Gillingham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.8% (  0.05) | 21.19% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.93% (  0.08) | 54.07% (  -0.08) | 
| Crewe Alexandra Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.85% (  0) | 33.14% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.25% (  0) | 69.74% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra | 
| 1-0 @ 10.89% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.83% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.67% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% (  0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.63% | 1-1 @ 12.03% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% (  0) 3-3 @ 0.98% (  0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.76% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.65% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.28% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.58% (  -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.05% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 | 
| P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 | 
| 5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 | 
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | 
| 7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 | 
| 8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 | 
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 | 
| 11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 | 
| 12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 | 
| 13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 | 
| 14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 | 
| 15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 | 
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 | 
| 17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 | 
| 19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 | 
| 20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 | 
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 | 
| R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
