League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe2 - 3Gillingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Morecambe 1-1 Gillingham
Neither team heads into this match in good form and that could be reflected in the game itself as both will likely be more cautious because of their performances as late. Each club is hoping to make a late push into the playoffs, but they could end up sharing the points in this particular fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
30.95% ( 0.01) | 27.01% ( -0.01) | 42.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
