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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
53.28% (![]() | 26.14% (![]() | 20.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.1% (![]() | 58.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.61% | 79.39% (![]() |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% (![]() | 22.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.32% (![]() | 55.68% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.12% (![]() | 43.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.97% (![]() | 80.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 14.67% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.77% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.04% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.03% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 90 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 44 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 79 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 69 | 53 | 16 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 58 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 58 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 43 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 48 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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