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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crewe Alexandra
Gillingham
2 - 1
Crewe
Nichols (56'), O'Brien (70')
MacDonald (11'), Ehmer (90+5')
Harris (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ainley (62')
Griffiths (42')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Crewe Alexandra's miserable away-day fortunes are showing no signs of coming to an end anytime soon, and facing a Gillingham side with a taste for wins at home is hardly a recipe for success. Harris has implored his players to give him a response to Saturday's defeat, and we expect the Gills to do just that, even if Crewe's backline will be reinforced by the returning McDonald. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.28% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.14% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.88% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.03% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 53.27%
    Crewe Alexandra 20.57%
    Draw 26.14%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.67%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.27%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 9.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.98%
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crewe

Gillingham
72.9%
Draw
12.5%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
1-0
Crewe
Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Crewe
2-0
Gillingham
Long (11'), Lowery (90+1')
Offord (68')

O'Keefe (47'), Phillips (61')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Gillingham
4-1
Crewe
Graham (11' pen.), Lee (38', 62'), Dempsey (45')
Oliver (46'), Cundy (67'), Akinde (90+3')
Porter (80')
Johnson (90+4')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Crewe
0-1
Gillingham

Offord (12'), Ng (76'), Mandron (83')
Akinde (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient442612660303090
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage442213958391979
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4420121269531672
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon441513165852658
11Grimsby Town441513164854-658
12Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
13Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
14Newport CountyNewport441314174953-453
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe431215164155-1451
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20Harrogate TownHarrogate441115185666-1048
21AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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