

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
| 24.77% ( | 25.13% ( | 50.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.6% ( | 51.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% ( | 35.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.69% ( | 72.31% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( | 20.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.96% ( | 53.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 3-0 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.77% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0-2 @ 9.15% ( 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 2-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 50.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Stockport CountyStockport | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 20 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 10 | Morecambe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 16 |
| 13 | Salford City | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 16 | MK Dons | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Grimsby Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Newport CountyNewport | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 14 |
| 20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 10 |
| 23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 7 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
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