Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 57.39% ( | 24.39% ( | 18.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% | 55.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( | 76.64% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( | 19.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.1% ( | 50.89% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% ( | 44.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.42% ( | 80.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 3.81% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.62% Total : 18.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
| 4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
| 5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
| 6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
| 7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
| 10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
| 13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
| 14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
| 15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
| 16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
| 17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
| 18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
| 23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
| R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
