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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
57.39% (![]() | 24.39% (![]() | 18.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% | 55.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% (![]() | 76.64% (![]() |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% (![]() | 19.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% (![]() | 50.89% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.44% (![]() | 44.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.42% (![]() | 80.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 14.12% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() Other @ 3.75% Total : 57.38% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.62% Total : 18.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
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