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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Colchester
1 - 1
Crewe

Chilvers (35')
Kelleher (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-4 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

 All of the League Two contests on Saturday take place simultaneously, which means each side should feel a sense of urgency to earn a result. Despite Crewe having 26 more points than their weekend opponents, they have looked undisciplined and unhinged defensively, sometimes against mediocre sides, while Colchester have been able to keep most of their recent matches close, and that consistency should help them in this decisive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.91% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 45.98% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)43.56% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.51% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.12 -0.12)63.02% (0.125 0.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 29.91%
    Crewe Alexandra 45.98%
    Draw 24.11%
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Colchester vs Crewe

Colchester United
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Crewe Alexandra
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
P-P
Crewe
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
0-0
Colchester
Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')
Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale432113961431876
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster4321121066481875
3Bradford CityBradford4321111159401974
4Walsall4320131074532173
5AFC Wimbledon4319131155322370
6Notts County4319121263441969
7Colchester UnitedColchester431618951401166
8Grimsby Town43206175964-566
9Chesterfield4317121465501563
10Salford City431614135550562
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe431517114944562
12Swindon TownSwindon431515137061960
13Bromley431514145756159
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood431415145756157
15BarrowBarrow431511174947256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431412175564-954
17Gillingham431215163845-751
18Newport CountyNewport43139215170-1948
19MK Dons43138225166-1547
20Harrogate TownHarrogate431211203756-1947
21Accrington StanleyAccrington431113195167-1646
22Tranmere RoversTranmere431014193964-2544
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431010233965-2640
24Morecambe43106273763-2636
> League Two Full Table


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