Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 1
Stoke

Morris (24'), Adebayo (90')
Chong (55')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cannon (6')
Burger (85'), Koumas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, December 7 at 3.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Stoke City
42.68% ( 0.56)	25.91% ( 0.08)	31.41% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.24% (

-0.53)

50.76% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

-0.47)

72.66% (

0.47)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

0.05)

23.62% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

0.07)

57.7% (

-0.07)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

-0.69)

30.12% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

-0.84)

66.26% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 42.68%

Stoke City 31.41%

Draw 25.9%

Luton Town	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.68%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.41%