MX23RW : Monday, May 19 00:13:54| >> :120:45117:45117:
Millwall logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 13, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
The Den
Dagenham & Redbridge

Millwall
3 - 0
Dag & Red

Ivanovic (30'), De Norre (70'), Bangura-Williams (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rees (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Dag & Red
Wednesday, January 8 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Millwall 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge

Although Dagenham have shown signs of improvement under their caretaker manager Young, we feel the gap between the Championship and the National League will show in this match. The visitors will give it a good go on Monday night, but we think Millwall get their first win under their new boss and book their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawDagenham & Redbridge
55.74% (-1.045 -1.04) 24.24% (0.364 0.36) 20.03% (0.682 0.68)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (-0.565 -0.56)52.64% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.486 -0.49)74.29% (0.486 0.49)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.604 -0.6)18.77% (0.605 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-1.019 -1.02)50.17% (1.02 1.02)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.14% (0.425 0.43)40.86% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.57% (0.377 0.38)77.43% (-0.375 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 55.73%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 20.03%
    Draw 24.23%
MillwallDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.73% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 55.73%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Millwall vs Dag & Red

Millwall
81.7%
Dagenham & Redbridge
18.3%
120
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
4Chelsea37199963432066
5Aston Villa3719995849966
6Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brentford37167146556955
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3614111155431253
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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