Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
QPR

Nelson (54'), Harness (55')
Cashin (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dunne (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-3 Hull City
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
44.26% ( -0.07)	26.75% ( 0.03)	29% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.09)

55.06% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.68% (

-0.08)

76.32% (

0.08)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27% (

-0.08)

24.74% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

-0.11)

59.29% (

0.11)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

-0.01)

34.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

-0.02)

70.75% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Derby County 44.26%

Queens Park Rangers 29%

Draw 26.74%

Derby County	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.26%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29%

How you voted: Derby vs QPR

Derby County

63.8%

Draw

10.6%

Queens Park Rangers

25.5%

Head to Head

Apr 18, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 43

QPR

1-0

Derby

Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

> Preview

Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Derby

1-2

QPR

Lawrence (10')

Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')

> Preview

Jan 23, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 26

QPR

0-1

Derby

Cameron (31'), Kane (51')

Kazim-Richards (57')
Shinnie (77')

> Match Report

Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 10

Derby

0-1

QPR

Kazim-Richards (90+1')

Bonne (88')

> Match Report

Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm

Gameweek 35

Form Guide

Derby 3-0 Bristol City

Barrow 0-0 Derby (3-2 pen.)

QPR 1-3 Hull City

Blackburn 2-0 QPR

QPR 1-1 Millwall

QPR 1-2 Crystal Palace

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table