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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Earthy (72', 82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conway (37')
Dijksteel (57'), Hackney (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough

Bristol City have collected six wins from their last eight home league matches, and with that in mind, we think that the Robins will make full use of home advantage to condemn Middlesbrough to a fifth consecutive defeat to pile more pressure on Carrick. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.29% (0.218 0.22) 26.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.72% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)54.76% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.084 -0.08)76.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.071999999999989 0.07)26.66% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.094999999999999 0.09)61.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.208 -0.21)31.24% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.243 -0.24)67.59% (0.24300000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.28%
    Middlesbrough 32.72%
    Draw 26.99%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
81.7%
Draw
9.9%
Middlesbrough
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
0-2
Bristol City

Hackney (3'), van den Berg (8'), Azaz (13'), Doak (50'), Ayling (56')
Mehmeti (27'), Hirakawa (45+2')
McCrorie (41'), McNally (43'), Earthy (83')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-2
Bristol City
Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
Knight (16'), James (17')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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