We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
It is hard to see Bristol Rovers winning on Monday considering they come into the clash in such poor form, but they will at least take confidence from their draw with Wrexham.
Stevenage were strong from a defensive perspective last time out, but given their struggles in the final third, they are unlikely to score more than once.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.