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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Stevenage


Moore (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (12')
White (36'), List (49'), Thompson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Blackpool
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

It is hard to see Bristol Rovers winning on Monday considering they come into the clash in such poor form, but they will at least take confidence from their draw with Wrexham. Stevenage were strong from a defensive perspective last time out, but given their struggles in the final third, they are unlikely to score more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
31.38% (0.574 0.57) 26.58% (-0.226 -0.23) 42.04% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 51.27% (0.919 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (1.072 1.07)53.47% (-1.074 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (0.898 0.9)74.99% (-0.901 -0.9)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.95399999999999 0.95)31.5% (-0.956 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (1.091 1.09)67.89% (-1.093 -1.09)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.303 0.3)25.14% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.417 0.42)59.86% (-0.42 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 31.38%
    Stevenage 42.03%
    Draw 26.57%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.041999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 42.03%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
63.6%
Draw
36.4%
Stevenage
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stevenage
3-0
Bristol Rovers
List (34'), Roberts (54'), Reid (88')
Freestone (65'), Roberts (85')

Lindsay (22'), Wilson (26'), McCormick (71'), Sousa (85')
Lindsay (53')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
2-3
Bristol Rovers
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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