

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 52.24% ( | 24.32% ( | 23.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( | 49.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( | 71.38% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( | 18.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.69% ( | 50.31% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( | 35.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 42 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 99 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 44 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 86 |
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 69 | 41 | 28 | 84 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 82 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 81 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
| 7 | Reading | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 72 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 66 |
| 9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 19 | 7 | 18 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
| 10 | Blackpool | 43 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 67 | 56 | 11 | 63 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 51 | 11 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 58 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 15 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 55 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 43 | 15 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 55 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 53 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 53 |
| 17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 64 | 74 | -10 | 50 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 50 |
| 19 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 13 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 67 | -14 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 43 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 43 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 52 | 82 | -30 | 40 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 38 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 38 | 76 | -38 | 30 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
