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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
1 - 1
Stevenage

Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage

Neither team heads into this contest in strong form, but it should be an interesting contrast in styles nonetheless. Evans and Barton are likely to provide plenty of entertainment on the sidelines, and they will be expecting their players to display similar levels of intensity. We can envisage a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
43.85% (-0.154 -0.15) 25.54% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.61% (0.233 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.438 0.44)49.52% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.392 0.39)71.55% (-0.395 -0.39)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (0.113 0.11)22.52% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (0.171 0.17)56.09% (-0.175 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.383 0.38)30.04% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.461 0.46)66.16% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 43.84%
    Stevenage 30.61%
    Draw 25.53%
Bristol RoversDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage

Bristol Rovers
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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