

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 18.23% (  0.13) | 24.53% (  0.01) | 57.23% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 44.45% (  0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.07% (  0.13) | 55.93% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.97% (  0.11) | 77.03% (  -0.11) | 
| Cheltenham Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.18% (  0.24) | 44.82% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.21% (  0.19) | 80.78% (  -0.2) | 
| Stevenage Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.55% (  -0.01) | 19.45% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.71% (  -0) | 51.29% (  -0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage | 
| 1-0 @ 7% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 4.6% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 2.81% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 1.23% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.01% (  0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.45% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% (  -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.76% (  0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 14.27% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.68% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.38% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 6.38% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.12% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 2.61% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.1% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.05% (  0.02) Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
