National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Alfreton3 - 2Buxton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Buxton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Alfreton
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 Chorley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
72
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Buxton |
36.25% ( 1.47) | 28.7% ( 0.91) | 35.04% ( -2.38) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -2.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
