National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton1 - 0Chorley
Kirby (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-3 Buxton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
71
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
67
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Chorley |
39.71% ( 0.14) | 27.53% ( -0.17) | 32.76% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
