MX23RW : Saturday, April 19 00:00:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
3 - 0
Buxton

Ellis (34'), Grant (67' og.), Calveley (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-3 Chorley
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Southport
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawBuxton
44.44% (1.588 1.59) 25.86% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.7% (-1.298 -1.3)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (0.636 0.64)51.23% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (0.553 0.55)73.07% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (1.047 1.05)22.97% (-1.044 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24% (1.513 1.51)56.77% (-1.51 -1.51)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.596 -0.6)31.55% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.693 -0.69)67.95% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 44.44%
    Buxton 29.7%
    Draw 25.85%
ChorleyDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.278 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.217 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.289 -0.29)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.7%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Buxton
3-1
Chorley
De Girolamo (36' pen.), Shiels (56'), Hunt (73')
Wilson (73')
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chorley
3-2
Buxton
Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster442681080344686
2Brackley Town442751268422686
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe442412870304084
4Chester FCChester442312968442481
5Hereford UnitedHereford4422101267452276
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn442210125142976
7Buxton442351672492374
8Chorley4420131166481873
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton4421101355401573
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4419131273502370
11Darlington441715125852666
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports441711165451362
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath441512176257557
14Alfreton TownAlfreton441413175056-655
15Marine AFC441510194054-1455
16Leamington FCLeamington44159205153-254
17South Shields44166225967-854
18RadcliffeRadcliffe441311205569-1450
19Oxford CityOxford City441214185572-1750
20SouthportSouthport441213194157-1649
21Needham Market44109254372-2939
22Rushall Olympic4498274090-5035
23Warrington Town44612263468-3430
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic44753235105-7026


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