National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium
Hornchurch2 - 0Aveley
Greenidge (21'), Gibbs (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Aveley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Hornchurch
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Aveley 1-0 Chelmsford City
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
43
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Hornchurch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Hornchurch | Draw | Aveley |
43.33% ( -0.9) | 25.81% ( 0.16) | 30.86% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
