National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels0 - 1Hornchurch
FT(HT: 0-1)
McQueen (16')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Weston 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-3 Truro City
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
52
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AFC Hornchurch in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
31.99% ( 1.43) | 26.76% ( 0.1) | 41.25% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
