MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 21:30:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Academy Stadium

Chester
2 - 1
Marine AFC

Burke (10'), Murray (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sinclair-Smith (80')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Marine AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-1 Chester
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 1-0 Warrington Town
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawMarine AFC
62.04% (0.393 0.39) 23.96% (-0.12 -0.12) 14% (-0.272 -0.27)
Both teams to score 37.97% (-0.291 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)59.98% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78% (-0.026 -0.03)80.23% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.133 0.13)19.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (0.219 0.22)50.86% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.98% (-0.435 -0.43)53.02% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.34% (-0.279 -0.28)86.66% (0.282 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 62.03%
    Marine AFC 14%
    Draw 23.96%
Chester FCDrawMarine AFC
1-0 @ 16.79% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 13.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.63% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 62.03%
1-1 @ 10.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 14%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Marine AFC
2-3
Chester
Lusiama (70', 88')
Atcheson (25'), Murphy (33'), Brown (52'), Whelan (71')
Mottley-Henry (11'), Murray (30'), Burke (58')
Burke (23'), Wadsworth (65'), Bainbridge (74'), Woodthorpe (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster452781085355089
2Brackley Town452851270422889
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe452512875304587
4Chester FCChester452412970452584
5King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn4523101252421079
6Chorley4521131171482376
7Hereford UnitedHereford4522101368501876
8Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton4522101358401876
9Buxton452351774522274
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4520131275502573
11Darlington451715135853566
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports451711175456-262
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath451612176357660
14Alfreton TownAlfreton451513175358-558
15Marine AFC451510204156-1555
16Leamington FCLeamington45159215155-454
17South Shields45166235969-1054
18Oxford CityOxford City451314185873-1553
19SouthportSouthport451214194157-1650
20RadcliffeRadcliffe451311215574-1950
21Needham Market45109264373-3039
22Rushall Olympic4598284193-5235
23Warrington Town45613263468-3431
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic45753335108-7326


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