Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.