League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Accrington1 - 1Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Port Vale
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Carlisle United
Carlisle's previous two away wins in 2025 have been followed by defeats, which is a portent for Monday's fixture. However, with their hosts, Accrington, not in the finest form, the spoils could be shared in a score draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.89% ( -0.02) | 27.16% ( 0.63) | 38.96% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
