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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Stoke logo

Leeds
6 - 0
Stoke

Piroe (6', 8', 20', 41'), Firpo (26'), Gnonto (59')
Ampadu (17')
FT(HT: 5-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Stoke City

Looking to make it four wins on the spin in the Championship, Leeds will be extremely confident of earning a victory which could take them back to the Premier League. Stoke's second-tier status is all-but secure following Friday's beating of Sheffield Wednesday, with the relaxed Potters likely to be the latest victims of Farke's men in Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
78.67% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 14.12% (-0.057 -0.06) 7.21% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 43.82% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)60.27% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)7.77% (-0.0189 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)27.62% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.51% (-0.23 -0.23)52.49% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.67% (-0.149 -0.15)86.33% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 78.66%
    Stoke City 7.21%
    Draw 14.12%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.24% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.7% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 78.66%
1-1 @ 6.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.12%
0-1 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
80.8%
Draw
13.7%
Stoke City
5.5%
73
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-2
Leeds

Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
Piroe (42', 63')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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