Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.