Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.