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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Watford logo

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Watford

Bishop (25')
Bishop (27'), Aouchiche (44'), Botts (64'), Lang (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dwomoh (53'), Louza (67'), (90+8')
Keben (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-5 Portsmouth
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 2-1 Watford

Portsmouth will be full of confidence following Friday's impressive win over Norwich, and we think that they will back up that result by claiming a narrow victory in Monday's contest, especially as they have won 10 of their last 15 home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
PortsmouthDrawWatford
45.02% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.36% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.62% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.029 -0.03)71.26% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)21.84% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)55.07% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.025000000000006 0.03)30.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)66.79% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 45.01%
    Watford 29.62%
    Draw 25.35%
PortsmouthDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.62%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Watford

Portsmouth
82.9%
Draw
7.3%
Watford
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Watford
2-1
Portsmouth
Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')
Baah (90+8')
Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')
Jan 2, 2012 3pm
Nov 19, 2011 3pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Watford
3-0
Portsmouth
Taylor (42'), Sordell (52'), Graham (69')

Dickinson (57'), Utaka (74')
Halford (90')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Portsmouth
3-2
Watford
Brown (80'), Mullins (17'), Kitson (72')
Mokoena (33'), Nugent (56'), Kitson (89')
Taylor (67')
Eustace (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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