Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Watford

Bishop (25')
Bishop (27'), Aouchiche (44'), Botts (64'), Lang (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dwomoh (53'), Louza (67'), (90+8')
Keben (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 3-5 Portsmouth
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Burnley
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Watford
45.02% ( -0.07)	25.36% ( 0.01)	29.62% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8% (

-0.03)

49.2% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73% (

-0.03)

71.26% (

0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.15% (

-0.04)

21.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.07)

55.07% (

0.07)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.43% (

0.03)

30.56% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.2% (

0.03)

66.79% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 45.01%

Watford 29.62%

Draw 25.35%

Portsmouth	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 45.01%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.62%