Portsmouth

1 - 0

Watford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.