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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen
3 - 1
AZ

Lukovic (5'), Sebaoui (57'), Linday (90+4')
de Wijs (81'), Noppert (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buurmeester (76')
Belic (34'), Smit (90+6'), Goes (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar should certainly face a tougher test than their 9-1 win in the reverse fixture, but with momentum on their side against a struggling Heerenveen team on the back of the loss of their manager, we back the visitors to come out on top on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.59% (-0.774 -0.77) 24.24% (-0.138 -0.14) 45.16% (0.91099999999999 0.91)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (0.275 0.27)43.81% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.268 0.27)66.19% (-0.267 -0.27)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)27.19% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.479 -0.48)62.6% (0.479 0.48)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.505 0.5)19.56% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.815 0.81)51.47% (-0.815 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 30.59%
    AZ Alkmaar 45.16%
    Draw 24.24%
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 45.16%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs AZ

Heerenveen
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
9-1
Heerenveen
Mijnans (4'), Parrott (23', 48', 50', 56'), Sadiq (72'), Meerdink (75'), Belic (82'), Buurmeester (85')
Brouwers (19')
Karlsbakk (80')
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 19
Heerenveen
2-2
AZ
Clasie (24' og.), Brouwers (51')
van Amersfoort (8'), Brouwers (80')
Pavlidis (20'), Bochniewicz (88' og.)
de Wit (23'), Mijnans (33')
Kasius (40')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
AZ
3-0
Heerenveen
Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')

Brouwers (11')
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Groningen3098133245-1335
10Heracles30811113752-1535
11Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
12NECNijmegen2996144243-133
13Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


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