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Europa League

Galatasaray
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Rams Global Stadium
AZ Alkmaar

Galatasaray
2 - 2
AZ

Osimhen (56'), Sallai (70')
Jelert (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maikuma (42'), Kasius (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 1-2 Galatasaray
Monday, February 17 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AZ 4-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
GalatasarayDrawAZ Alkmaar
38.74% (1.03 1.03)23.68% (-0.026 -0.03)37.57% (-1.005 -1.01)
Both teams to score 62.69% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.71% (0.124 0.12)39.28% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.38% (0.129 0.13)61.62% (-0.129 -0.13)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.551 0.55)20.54% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.866 0.87)53.05% (-0.867 -0.87)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-0.434 -0.43)21.1% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.07% (-0.677 -0.68)53.93% (0.677 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 38.74%
    AZ Alkmaar 37.57%
    Draw 23.68%
GalatasarayDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.139 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.57%

How you voted: Galatasaray vs AZ

Galatasaray
73.9%
Draw
11.4%
AZ Alkmaar
14.7%
184
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2025 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
AZ
4-1
Galatasaray
Mijnans (12'), Parrott (37' pen.), Clasie (57'), Moller Wolfe (66')
Moller Wolfe (48'), Clasie (75')
Sallai (20')
Ayhan (11'), Bardakci (43'), Morata (57')
Ayhan (51')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2024 5.45pm
League Stage
AZ
1-1
Galatasaray
Mijnans (2')
van Bommel (6'), Parrott (73'), Smit (88')
Smit (90+2')
Osimhen (43')
Mertens (84'), Osimhen (88'), Sanchez (89'), Akgun (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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