

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 32.18% ( | 23.51% ( | 44.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( | 39.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( | 61.97% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( | 24.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.52% ( | 58.48% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( | 18.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.74% ( | 49.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 2-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-4 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.67% Total : 44.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 53 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Groningen | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
