MX23RW : Monday, April 28 02:40:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
Excelsior

MVV
1 - 2
Excelsior

Braken (35')
Kassimi (90+5'), Kassimi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duijvestijn (86'), van Duinen (90+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and SBV Excelsior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 1-2 Emmen
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawSBV Excelsior
26.12% (1.1 1.1) 21.94% (0.211 0.21) 51.94% (-1.306 -1.31)
Both teams to score 63.35% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.98% (0.049999999999997 0.05)36.03% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.88% (0.054000000000002 0.05)58.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.831 0.83)26.25% (-0.826 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (1.096 1.1)61.36% (-1.09 -1.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)14.11% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.785 -0.78)41.74% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 26.12%
    SBV Excelsior 51.94%
    Draw 21.94%
MVV MaastrichtDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.49% (0.193 0.19)
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.31% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 26.12%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.2% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.64% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-3 @ 4.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 3.04% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 51.94%

How you voted: MVV vs Excelsior

MVV Maastricht
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Excelsior
3-2
MVV
Fini (35'), Van Duinen (87' pen.), Armantrading (90+2')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
Silva Timas (9'), Loeffen (42' og.)
Aktas (81'), Hermans (90+3'), Schenk (90+6')
Apr 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-1
Excelsior
Remans (6')
Alberg (63'), Zeegers (72')
Niemeijer (2')
Vlasenko (84')
El Yaakoubi (83')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
2-1
MVV
Dallinga (21', 50')
Wieffer (84' og.)
Zeegers (33'), Alberg (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 25
MVV
1-0
Excelsior
Dianessy (88')
Oct 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Excelsior
2-0
MVV
Baas (52'), Mar Omarsson (55')

Stavitski (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam35244780404076
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior36218768363271
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag361910759411867
4Dordrecht36198965442165
5Cambuur362051158391965
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap351781066452159
7TelstarTelstar3616101065452058
8EmmenEmmen36165155449553
9Den BoschDen Bosch35149125145651
10Roda JC361310134753-649
11Helmond SportHelmond351210135255-346
12Jong AZJong AZ35129146360345
13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35129145360-745
14VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo35108173859-2138
15MVV MaastrichtMVV36910175158-737
16TOP OssOss36812162959-3036
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax3588193651-1532
18Jong PSVJong PSV3576225278-2627
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht35311212776-4920
20Vitesse361010164970-211


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