MX23RW : Friday, May 9 17:54:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
Excelsior

MVV
1 - 2
Excelsior

Braken (35')
Kassimi (90+5'), Kassimi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duijvestijn (86'), van Duinen (90+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and SBV Excelsior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 1-2 Emmen
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawSBV Excelsior
26.12% (1.1 1.1) 21.94% (0.211 0.21) 51.94% (-1.306 -1.31)
Both teams to score 63.35% (0.424 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.98% (0.049999999999997 0.05)36.03% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.88% (0.054000000000002 0.05)58.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.831 0.83)26.25% (-0.826 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (1.096 1.1)61.36% (-1.09 -1.09)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)14.11% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.785 -0.78)41.74% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 26.12%
    SBV Excelsior 51.94%
    Draw 21.94%
MVV MaastrichtDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 6.49% (0.193 0.19)
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.31% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 26.12%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.2% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.64% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-3 @ 4.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 3.04% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 51.94%

How you voted: MVV vs Excelsior

MVV Maastricht
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
SBV Excelsior
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 11
Excelsior
3-2
MVV
Fini (35'), Van Duinen (87' pen.), Armantrading (90+2')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
Silva Timas (9'), Loeffen (42' og.)
Aktas (81'), Hermans (90+3'), Schenk (90+6')
Apr 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-1
Excelsior
Remans (6')
Alberg (63'), Zeegers (72')
Niemeijer (2')
Vlasenko (84')
El Yaakoubi (83')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
2-1
MVV
Dallinga (21', 50')
Wieffer (84' og.)
Zeegers (33'), Alberg (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 25
MVV
1-0
Excelsior
Dianessy (88')
Oct 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Excelsior
2-0
MVV
Baas (52'), Mar Omarsson (55')

Stavitski (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam37264786444282
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior37228773363774
3Cambuur372151162422068
4ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag371910862451767
5Dordrecht371981065452065
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap371881169492062
7TelstarTelstar3716101166471958
8EmmenEmmen37175155650656
9Den BoschDen Bosch371510125245755
10Jong AZJong AZ371310146762549
11Roda JC371310144956-749
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven37139155764-748
13Helmond SportHelmond371210155257-546
14VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo37118184262-2041
15MVV MaastrichtMVV371010175258-640
16TOP OssOss37813163161-3037
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax3798203752-1535
18Jong PSVJong PSV3776245285-3327
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht37411223079-4923
20Vitesse371011165172-212


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