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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 26
Apr 4, 2025 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena
Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

Albulayhi (62')
Neves (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Al Hassan (45+4'), Ronaldo (47', 88' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr

With so much at stake this week, Al-Nassr will be desperate to claw at their opponents' six-point cushion, so expect a close-fought contest. That being said, Al-Hilal have made their home ground into a fortress over the years, and with such an impressive defensive record, it is difficult to see the hosts dropping points on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 62.17%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
62.17% (-1.063 -1.06) 18.91% (0.353 0.35) 18.92% (0.71 0.71)
Both teams to score 64.36% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.67% (-0.533 -0.53)30.32% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.42% (-0.64 -0.64)51.58% (0.642 0.64)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51% (-0.395 -0.39)9.48% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.17% (-0.938 -0.94)31.82% (0.939 0.94)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.357 0.36)28.89% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (0.442 0.44)64.76% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 62.17%
    Al-Nassr 18.92%
    Draw 18.91%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 62.17%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.91%
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.158 0.16)
0-1 @ 3.4% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.11% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
49.2%
Draw
15.3%
Al-Nassr
35.6%
59
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 9
Al-Nassr
1-1
Al-Hilal
Talisca (1')
Brozovic (20'), Mane (43'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (52'), Otavio (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (78')
Malcom (57'), Kanoo (60'), Albulayhi (82'), Al-Dawsari (90+4')
May 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 32
Al-Nassr
1-1
Al-Hilal
Otavio (1')
Mane (41'), Brozovic (65'), Laporte (68'), Al-Khaibari (87')
Mitrovic (90+10' pen.)
Kanoo (24'), Neves (36'), Milinkovic-Savic (63')
Feb 8, 2024 6pm
Club Friendlies
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (17'), Al-Dawsari (30')
Malcom (28'), Lodi (63'), Mitrovic (90+2')

Talisca (8'), Brozovic (22'), Ronaldo (53'), Otavio (85'), Yahya (90+6')
Dec 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Al-Hilal
3-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad29215366303668
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal29195579344562
3Al-Nassr29186562332960
4Al-AhliAl-Ahli29184760293158
5Al Quadisiya29175742261656
6Al ShababAl Shabab29156854332151
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun29118103430441
8Al Ettifaq29117113741-440
9Al Riyadh2998123040-1035
10Al Khaleej2997133447-1334
11Damac2987143546-1131
12Al Kholood2994163555-2031
13Al Fateh2986153753-1630
14Al Fayha29612112341-1830
15Al Okhdood2977152841-1328
16Al Orubah2983182459-3527
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2975173660-2426
18Al RaedAl Raed2963203654-1821


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