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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium
Al-Nassr
Al-Hilal
3 - 0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (89', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-0 Persepolis
Monday, November 27 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Nassr

Both these sides come into this match carrying excellent league form, but the visitors did show a few signs of weakness in midweek, especially after the withdrawal of the league's top scorer, Cristiano Ronaldo. The hosts, though, were solid in their AFC Champions League outing, and their unbeaten record this season cannot be ignored. We are expecting a high-quality encounter here but are siding with Al Hilal to edge the contest by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Al-Nassr has a probability of 31.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win is 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
44.95% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28) 23.44% (0.265 0.27) 31.61% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.98% (-0.974 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.45% (-1.28 -1.28)39.55% (1.279 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (-1.345 -1.35)61.89% (1.345 1.35)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)17.94% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (-1.073 -1.07)48.76% (1.072 1.07)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.54% (-0.61200000000001 -0.61)24.46% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.869 -0.87)58.9% (0.867 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 44.95%
    Al-Nassr 31.61%
    Draw 23.43%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.297 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 44.95%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.61%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal
33.0%
Draw
10.0%
Al-Nassr
57.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')
rhs 2.0
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(ret.)
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal1513204683841
2Al-Nassr15111339182134
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli1593332191330
4Al Ittihad1584330151528
5Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun147432213925
6Al Fateh147342921824
7Al Ettifaq146532015523
8Damac155642823521
9Al Fayha154741818019
10Al WahdaAl Wahda146172628-219
11Al ShababAl Shabab144461621-516
12Al Riyadh154471429-1516
13Al Tai144281830-1214
14Al Khaleej153481626-1013
15Abha1541101737-2013
16Al Okhdood1431101023-1310
17Al RaedAl Raed142391526-119
18Al Hazem151591541-268

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