Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.