We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Esteghlal
Having held their more illustrious opponents to a goalless draw last time out, Esteghlal will back themselves to earn a similar result here. However, we are backing Ronaldo and co to showcase their attacking superiority to come through with a convincing win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 8.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.