MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 12:06:22| >> :60:45:45:
Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 10, 2025 at 6pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 0
Esteghlal

Duran (9', 84'), Ronaldo (27' pen.)
Al-Najdi (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ahmadi (17'), Kojo (62')
Ahmadi (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Nassr and Esteghlal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Esteghlal 0-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 3 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Esteghlal

Having held their more illustrious opponents to a goalless draw last time out, Esteghlal will back themselves to earn a similar result here. However, we are backing Ronaldo and co to showcase their attacking superiority to come through with a convincing win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Esteghlal had a probability of 8.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Esteghlal win it was 0-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawEsteghlal
75.78% (-2.751 -2.75) 15.86% (1.356 1.36) 8.36% (1.393 1.39)
Both teams to score 43.13% (2.134 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.121 -1.12)42.07% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-1.135 -1.14)64.48% (1.132 1.13)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.92 -0.92)9.4% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-2.221 -2.22)31.62% (2.217 2.22)
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.6% (2.808 2.81)52.4% (-2.811 -2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.74% (1.74 1.74)86.26% (-1.743 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 75.77%
    Esteghlal 8.36%
    Draw 15.86%
Al-NassrDrawEsteghlal
2-0 @ 13.76% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-0 @ 11.64% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 10.85% (-0.87 -0.87)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.432 0.43)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 6.42% (-0.816 -0.82)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-0 @ 3.04% (-0.534 -0.53)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.198 0.2)
5-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.064 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.2% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 75.77%
1-1 @ 7.53% (0.663 0.66)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.361 0.36)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 15.86%
0-1 @ 3.18% (0.401 0.4)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.394 0.39)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 8.36%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Esteghlal

Al-Nassr
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Esteghlal
10.5%
38
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2025 4pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Esteghlal
0-0
Al-Nassr
Oct 22, 2024 5pm
rhs 2.0
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