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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Burton Albion

Peterborough
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Bennett (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 4-1 Burton Albion

With a habit of smashing relegation-threatened teams at home, a dangerous Peterborough side should have no issues putting Burton to bed on Wednesday night. The Brewers are still sore from their FA Cup defeat to non-league Tamworth, so it is hard to imagine the visitors earning anything from their daunting trip to Weston Homes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
58.06% (1.324 1.32) 20.48% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.46% (-1.416 -1.42)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-2.442 -2.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (-2.278 -2.28)34.2% (2.271 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.9% (-2.617 -2.62)56.1% (2.612 2.61)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.363 -0.36)11.69% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (-0.78 -0.78)36.77% (0.772 0.77)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-2.468 -2.47)28.9% (2.46 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-3.169 -3.17)64.77% (3.164 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.06%
    Burton Albion 21.46%
    Draw 20.48%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.679 0.68)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.728 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.413 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.382 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.48%
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.209 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 21.46%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Peterborough United
77.4%
Draw
19.4%
Burton Albion
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Burton Albion
1-3
Peterborough
Ola-Adebomi (70')
Oshilaja (46'), Hamer (87')
Jade-Jones (56'), Knight (88'), Clarke-Harris (90+6')
Katongo (61')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Peterborough
4-0
Burton Albion
Randall (6'), Mason-Clark (44'), Stockton (61' og.), Poku (66')
Jade-Jones (52')

Helm (9'), Oshilaja (37'), Stockton (54')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Burton Albion
2-5
Peterborough
Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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