Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 65.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 65.79% ( | 19.47% ( | 14.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( | 41.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( | 63.51% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( | 11.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.24% ( | 36.76% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.61% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.99% ( | 77.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 4-0 @ 4.18% ( 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.78% Total : 65.78% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.47% | 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 1-2 @ 4.16% ( 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 1-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 36 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 36 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 57 |
| 9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 54 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 45 |
| 13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 45 |
| 15 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
| 16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 38 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 35 |
| 21 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 33 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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