Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 35.9% ( | 26.11% ( | 37.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( | 50.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( | 72.57% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( | 27.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.36% ( | 62.64% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( | 26.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.94% ( | 61.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 6% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 83 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 71 |
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 66 |
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 61 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 60 |
| 8 | Reading | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 59 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 56 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 51 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 49 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 44 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 44 |
| 17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 43 |
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 42 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 42 |
| 21 | Burton Albion | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 30 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 29 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 28 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
