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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
23.79% | 24.86% | 51.35% |
Both teams to score 51.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% | 51.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% | 73.01% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% | 36.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% | 73.08% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% | 19.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% | 52.06% |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 7.33% 2-1 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 3.71% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.85% Total : 23.79% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 9.41% 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 36 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 36 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 57 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
10 | Portsmouth | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 54 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 45 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 45 |
15 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 35 |
21 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
22 | Morecambe | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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