MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 02:07:39| >> :120:5923:5923:
Universitario
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Universitario
1 - 0
Barcelona

Valera (45+1')
Corzo (36'), Valera (38'), Carabali (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rivero (38')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Independiente
Friday, May 9 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Barcelona 2-3 River Plate
Friday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universitario in this match.

Result
UniversitarioDrawBarcelona SC
60.72% (0.382 0.38) 22.79% (-0.195 -0.2) 16.49% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.188 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.455 0.45)51.95% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.393 0.39)73.69% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.292 0.29)16.71% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.523 0.52)46.6% (-0.523 -0.52)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (0.030999999999999 0.03)44.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)80.65% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 60.72%
    Barcelona SC 16.49%
    Draw 22.78%
UniversitarioDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.12% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 60.72%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.78%
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.49%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 3am
Group Stage
Barcelona
0-1
Universitario

Rivero (58'), Leonai (68'), Solano (90+4')
Flores (31')
Velez (40'), Costa (56'), (58'), Dulanto (58'), Joya (90+3')
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
Feb 24, 2022 12.30am
Second Round 1st Leg
Barcelona
2-0
Universitario
Castillo (60'), Garces (80')
rhs 2.0
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RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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